Monument to Thomas Bayes and Family, Middle Enclosure is a Grade II listed building in the Islington local planning authority area, England. First listed on 21 February 2011. A C18 Monument.

Monument to Thomas Bayes and Family, Middle Enclosure

WRENN ID
cold-vault-hawk
Grade
II
Local Planning Authority
Islington
Constituency
Islington South and Finsbury MP: Emily Thornberry (Lab)
Country
England
Date first listed
21 February 2011
Type
Monument
Address
Monument to Thomas Bayes and Family, Middle Enclosure, Bunhill Fields Burial Ground
OS grid reference
TQ 326 822
Coordinates
51.52374, -0.0891
Source
Historic England listing

Also on this page: flood risk · radon risk · weather exposure · detailed attributes ↓

Description

The monument is a late 18th-century chest tomb situated within the Middle Enclosure of Bunhill Fields Burial Ground. Constructed from Portland stone with a brick vault beneath, it commemorates Joseph Bayes and family members, most notably the mathematician and Presbyterian minister Thomas Bayes (1701?-1761). The monument’s design is simple, featuring a coped lid, fielded inscription panels on the sides, and a moulded base, all resting on a low brick and stone plinth. Thomas Bayes, born in Hertfordshire, studied at Edinburgh University and later assisted his father in Holborn and served as minister in Tunbridge Wells. He is primarily remembered for his posthumously published 'Essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances' (1764), which laid the groundwork for the 'Bayesian' approach to probability theory and the famous 'Bayes' Theorem'. Bunhill Fields Burial Ground, first enclosed in 1665, served as a key burial site for London’s Nonconformist community and is the final resting place for notable figures such as John Bunyan and William Blake. The monument is designated at Grade II for its excellent preservation, its significance as the burial place of Thomas Bayes, and for its group value within the Grade I registered Bunhill Fields Burial Ground.

Local climate

Monument to Thomas Bayes and Family, Middle Enclosure sits in one of the driest parts of the UK, with an average of 690 mm of rain a year. This makes it drier than 95% of listed buildings in the UK. Its exposure to wind-driven rain is lower than that of 98% of listed buildings.

It experiences an average of 35 freeze-thaw cycles a year, more than 57% of listed buildings. Of these, 16 follow at least 1 mm of rain in the preceding 48 hours. Average temperatures at this location have risen by 0.3°C per decade since 1991.

Averages for 1991–2020; temperature trend 1991–2025. Figures describe the wider area (a grid cell of roughly 10 km), not the individual site. Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026.

More on this building

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